Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.220621 0.240299 0.261254 0.285282 0.312140 0.341309 0.375486
2026-01-18 0.183678 0.210876 0.241824 0.279876 0.325722 0.379576 0.448220
2026-01-25 0.158492 0.188686 0.224667 0.271170 0.330361 0.404117 0.504467
2026-02-01 0.141726 0.173556 0.212886 0.265783 0.336191 0.428332 0.560854
2026-02-08 0.128115 0.160515 0.201751 0.259069 0.338284 0.446386 0.609586
2026-02-15 0.117762 0.150488 0.193225 0.254380 0.341781 0.465671 0.661260
2026-02-22 0.111967 0.145837 0.191187 0.257954 0.356610 0.501912 0.742074
2026-03-01 0.105282 0.139362 0.185974 0.256302 0.363279 0.526247 0.806931
2026-03-08 0.098810 0.132665 0.179844 0.252599 0.366193 0.544646 0.863925
2026-03-15 0.092405 0.125605 0.172638 0.246574 0.364722 0.555528 0.908955
2026-03-22 0.090208 0.124415 0.173822 0.253289 0.383869 0.601965 1.023629
2026-03-29 0.087653 0.122500 0.173728 0.257883 0.399807 0.644474 1.137309
2026-04-05 0.084110 0.119011 0.171180 0.258611 0.409767 0.678455 1.241924
2026-04-12 0.079254 0.113281 0.164842 0.252695 0.407758 0.690598 1.304522
2026-04-19 0.074383 0.107262 0.157683 0.244854 0.401565 0.694090 1.349164
2026-04-26 0.070580 0.102702 0.152568 0.240083 0.400442 0.707105 1.416933
2026-05-03 0.066841 0.098048 0.147031 0.234164 0.396611 0.714219 1.472246
2026-05-10 0.063741 0.094259 0.142691 0.230030 0.395747 0.727175 1.543700
2026-05-17 0.062268 0.093008 0.142463 0.233181 0.409157 0.771387 1.701039
2026-05-24 0.060037 0.090408 0.139816 0.231725 0.413295 0.796119 1.813181
2026-05-31 0.057631 0.087407 0.136326 0.228459 0.413462 0.812033 1.904796
2026-06-07 0.055024 0.083960 0.131899 0.223144 0.408940 0.816759 1.966062
2026-06-14 0.054465 0.083912 0.133354 0.229068 0.428413 0.879485 2.209820